基于效用理论的铁路选线方案比选模型

罗圆; 姚令侃; 朱颖; 杨明

doi:10.3969/j.issn.0258-2724.2013.06.007

基于效用理论的铁路选线方案比选模型

doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0258-2724.2013.06.007

罗圆¹,
姚令侃^1,2,3, ,,
朱颖⁴,
杨明^1,2

基金项目:

铁道部科技研究开发计划课题资助项目（2011G011-A）

国家自然科学基金重点资助项目（41030742）

详细信息

作者简介:
罗圆（1986-），男，博士研究生，主要研究方向为铁路、公路勘察设计新技术，E-mail：ly986727@126.com

通讯作者:
姚令侃（1953-），男，教授，E-mail：yaolk@swjtu.edu.cn

计量
- 文章访问数: 1195
- HTML全文浏览量: 95
- PDF下载量: 340
- 被引次数: 0
出版历程
- 收稿日期: 2012-04-03
- 刊出日期: 2013-12-25

Optimal Selection Model of Railway Location Designs Based on Utility Theory

LUO Yuan¹,
YAO Lingkan^{1,2,3
, ,},
ZHU Ying⁴,
YANG Ming^1,2

摘要

摘要: 为了解决传统铁路选线设计方案评价方法没有考虑不同宏观经济形势的影响，并且对于一些不能完全用货币衡量的环境影响和社会效益等定性指标难以进行定量化研究的问题，引入效用理论以及多属性决策中的投影法，在专家采用语言变量对定性指标进行评价的基础上，将定性指标转化为区间数，再通过定义效用函数对宏观经济的影响效果进行量化，建立了不同宏观经济形势影响下的线路方案评价模型.根据该模型，通过使用不同的经济环境因子k来选择与其对应最优的线路方案.最后通过一个局部走向方案的比选实例说明了模型的作业程式，为新形势下铁路选线设计的方案选择提供了一种新的综合评价方法.
- 宏观经济 /
- 铁路选线 /
- 方案比选 /
- 效用函数 /
- 投影
Abstract: Traditional scheme comparison methods for railway route selection have not taken into account the impact of different macroeconomic situations on the optimal selection of railway locations. Besides, there still exist operational difficulties in qualification of indicators that cannot be measured by money. To overcome these defects, the utility theory and projection method were introduced into optimal selection of railway location designs in this work. Firstly, interval numbers were introduced to quantify qualitative indicators after experts evaluated alternatives using linguistic variables. Then, by defining utility functions to quantify the impact of macroeconomic situation, a model of route scheme evaluation in different macroeconomic situations was established. From this model, the optimum scheme could be selected by using different economic environmental factor k. Finally, an example of local alignment scheme comparison was used to illustrate the operation procedure of the model. This work provided a new and synthetic evaluating model for optimal railway route scheme selection in railway location design.
- macroeconomy /
- railway route selection /
- scheme optimization /
- utility function /
- projection

HTML全文

参考文献(53)

易思蓉. 铁路选线设计

王保林. 成渝线成都至内江段扩能改造方案优选及经济评价

[M]. 3版. 成都:西南交通大学出版社, 2009: 20.

郝瀛. 西部新建铁路建设项目经济评价特殊性的初步探讨

蓝元沛, 孟庆春, 李锋, 等. 基于多属性效用理论的飞机设计选材方法

[D]. 成都:西南交通大学, 2009.

徐志新, 奚树人, 曲静原. 核事故应急决策的多属性效用分析方法

[J]. 铁道工程学报, 2000(4): 16-19. HAO Ying. Preliminary exploration on particularities of economic evaluation for newly-built railway construction projects in West China

胡杰, 刘晓东, 陆四海. 效用函数的装备保障效能分析与评估

[J]. Journal of Railway Engineering Society, 2000(4): 16-19.

彭军龙. 基于可拓学的生态影响评价方法在铁路选线中的应用

苏生瑞, 张其伟, 景积仓, 等. 基于集对分析方法的山区高速铁路线路方案优选研究

张夏临, 冯涛. 模糊性综合评价在铁路选线中的应用

[J]. 航空材料学报, 2010, 30(3): 88-94. LAN Yuanpei, MENG Qingchun, LI Feng, et al. Aircraft eesign material-selection method based on MAUT theory

闫书丽, 赵丽英, 王传丽. 基于投影的不确定多属性决策方法

[J]. Journal of Aeronautical Materials, 2010, 30(3): 88-94.

杨静, 邱菀华. 基于离差的模糊多属性决策法及其应用

李明辉, 夏靖波, 韩仲祥, 等. 基于差异投影的多类型指标综合评估方法

[J]. 清华大学学报:自然科学版, 2008, 48 (3): 445-448. XU Zhixin, XI Shuren, QU Jingyuan. Multi-attribute analysis of nuclear reactor accident emergency decision making

[J]. J. Tsinghua Univ.: Sci. Tec., 2008, 48(3): 445-448.

李远富, 薛波, 邓域才. 铁路选线设计方案多目标决策模糊优选模型及其应用研究

徐泽水. 不确定多属性决策方法及应用

[J]. 火力与指挥控制, 2012, 37(1): 99-104. HU Jie, LIU Xiaodong, LU Sihai. On analysis and evaluation of equipment support efficiency based on the theory of utility function

薛会琴. 多属性决策中指标权重确定方法的研究

[J]. Fire Control Command Control, 2012, 37(1): 99-104.

王应明. 多指标决策与评价的新方法-投影法

TSAUR R C. Decision risk analysis for an interval TOPSIS method

[J]. 中国铁道科学, 2007, 28(3): 1-5. PENG Junlong. Application of assessment method of ecological impact in railway route selection based on extenics theory

樊治平,宫贤斌,张全. 区间数多属性决策中决策矩阵的规范化方法

[J]. China Railway Science, 2007, 28(3): 1-5.

张晓唏,徐坚,张鉴. 灰色效用函数在评价工科数学中的应用

[J]. 工程地质学报, 2011, 19(5): 774-760. SU Shengrui, ZHANG Qiwei, JING Jicang, et al. Optimal research of high speed railway route in mountain area based on set pair analysis

[J]. Journal of Engineering Geology, 2011, 19(5): 774-760.

[J]. 铁道工程学报, 2011(2): 21-26. ZHANG Xialin, FENG Tao. Application of fuzzy comprehe-nsive evaluation in railway alignmen

[J]. Journal of Railway Engineering Society, 2011(2): 21-26.

[J]. 河南科技大学学报:自然科学版, 2006, 30(1): 85-87. YAN Shuli, ZHAO Liying, WANG Chuanli. A method of uncertain multiple attribute decision making based on projection

[J]. Journal of Henan University of Science and Technology: Natural Science, 2006, 30(1): 85-87.

[J]. 系统工程, 2008, 26(6): 107-110. YANG Jing, QIU Wanhua. Method of fuzzy multi-attribute decision-making based on the deviation model

[J]. Systems Engineering, 2008, 26(6): 107-110.

[J]. 兵工学报, 2011, 32(1): 17-22. LI Minghui, XIA Jingbo, HAN Zhongxiang, et al. Method for solving integrated evaluation problems of multi-criteria indicator based on diversity projection

[J]. Acta Armamentaril, 2011, 32(1): 17-22.

[J]. 西南交通大学学报, 2000, 35(5): 465-470. LI Yuanfu, XUE Bo, DENG Yucai. A fuzzy optimal selection model and its application in muti-objective decision making of variant projects in railway location

[J]. Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University, 2000, 35(5): 465-470.

[M]. 北京:清华大学出版社, 2004: 105.

[D]. 兰州:西北师范大学, 2008.

[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 1999, 21(3): 1-4. WANG Yingming. A new method for multiindicies decision and evaluation-a projection method

[J]. Systems Engineering and Electronics, 1999, 21(3): 1-4.

[J]. Applied Mathematics and Computation, 2011, 218: 4295-4304.

[J]. 东北大学学报:自然科学版,1999,20(3): 326-329.FAN Zhiping, GONG Xianbin, ZHANG Quan. Methods of normalizing the decision matrix for multiple attribute decision making problems with intervals

[J]. Journal of Northeastern University: Natural Science, 1999, 20(3): 326-329.

[J]. 北京联合大学学报:自然科学版,2009, 23(3): 73-75.ZHANG Xiaoxi, XU Jian, ZHANG Jian. Application of

[DW]grey utility function in engineering mathematics

[J]. Journal of Beijing Union University: Natural Sciences, 2009, 23(3): 73-75.

施引文献

附加材料(0)

访问统计