基于航空OD客流的重力模型逆向算法

刘晓明; 夏洪山

基于航空OD客流的重力模型逆向算法

刘晓明,
夏洪山^,

基金项目:

国家自然科学与民航联合基金资助项目(60672167)

详细信息

作者简介:
刘晓明(1963- ),男,博士研究生,研究方向为智能运输系统规划与管理,E-mail:lxiaom66@126.com

通讯作者:
夏洪山(1952- ),男,教授,研究方向为智能运输系统规划、管理与仿真,E-mai:lxhsca@nuaa.edu.cn

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出版历程
- 收稿日期: 2007-05-08
- 刊出日期: 2008-06-25

Reverse Gravity Model Based on OD Traffic Flow of Air Passengers

LIU Xiaoming,
XIA Hongshan^,

摘要

摘要: 为了由航空OD(起讫点)客流数据及航线距离数据估计机场旅客吞吐量,结合哈密顿图简化算法机理,推导了简化代数算法.以我国15个主要机场之间航空OD客流数据为例,标定了模型参数,并利用两种逆向代数算法预测机场旅客吞吐量,结果吻合良好.与标准代数算法相比,简化代数算法需要的数据少,尤其适合于缺乏完整数据的大规模OD矩阵分析.
- 重力模型 /
- 航空OD客流 /
- 机场 /
- 旅客吞吐量 /
- 代数算法
Abstract: To estimate passenger traffic at airports based on air passenger OD(origin-destination) traffic flows and air route distances,a simplified algebraic algorithm was proposed with the help of Hamiltonian graphs.The parameters in the reverse gravity model were calibrated with the statistic data of 15 major airports in China.The simplified algebraic algorithm and conventional algebraic algorithm were used to calculate the passenger traffic of 15 airports.Their results are reasonably consistent.Compared with the conventional algebraic algorithm,the simplified one needs only a smaller number of data,and it is especially suitable for large-scale OD matrix analyses without compete inter-airport data.
- gravity model /
- OD traffic flow of air passenger /
- airport /
- passenger traffic /
- algebraic algorithm

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参考文献(1)

DOBLAS J,BENITEZ F G.An approach to estimating and updating origin-destination matrices based upon traffic counts preserving the prior structure of a survey matrix[J].Transportation Research Part B:Methodological,2005,39(7):565-591.[2] FOTHERINGHAM A S,CHAMPION T C,COOMBES M,et al.Measuring destination attractivity:a migration example[J].International Journal of Population Geography,2000,6(6):391-421.[3] ANDERSON J E,van WINCOOP E.Gravity with gravitas:a solution to the border puzzle[J].American Economic Review,2003,93(1):170-192.[4] SHEN Guoqiang.Estimating nodal attractions with exogenous spatial interaction and impedance data using the gravity model[J].Papers in Regional Science,1999,78(2):213-220.[5] SHEN Guoqiang.Reverse-fitting the gravity model to inter-city airline passenger flows by an algebraic simplification[J].Journal of Transport Geography,2004,12(3):219-234.[6] 陈宏民,郭甘雨.2000年上海航空客运需求量预测[J].系统工程理论方法应用,1996,2(5):18-22.CHEN Hongmin,GUO Guanyu.Forecasting demand of passenger volume of air transportation in Shanghai in 2000[J].Systems Engineering-Theory Methodology and Applications,1996,2(5):18-22.[7] 焦朋朋.机场旅客吞吐量的影响机理与预测方法研究[J].交通运输系统工程与信息,2005,5(1):107-110.JIAO Pengpeng.Forecasting method and its mechanism of impacts on airport passenger throughput[J].Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology,2005,5(1):107-110.[8] 葛折贵,葛折圣.基于遗传算法和神经网络理论的机场航空业务量的预测模型[J].现代交通技术,2005,2(4):65-67.GE Zhegui,GE Zhesheng.A prediction model of airport aviation portfolio based on genetic arithmetic and artificial neural network theory[J].Modern Transportation Technology,2005,2(4):65-67.[9] 刘灿齐.现代交通规划学[M].北京:人民交通出版社,2001:106-109.[10] LESNIAK-FOSTER L.Some recent results in Hamiltonian graphs[J].Journal of Graph Theory,1977,1(1):27-36.[11] 殷剑宏,吴开亚.图论及其算法[M].合肥:中国科学技术大学出版社,2003:48-49.

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文章访问数: 1692
HTML全文浏览量: 96
PDF下载量: 581
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基于航空OD客流的重力模型逆向算法

作者简介: 刘晓明(1963- ),男,博士研究生,研究方向为智能运输系统规划与管理,E-mail:lxiaom66@126.com

通讯作者: 夏洪山(1952- ),男,教授,研究方向为智能运输系统规划、管理与仿真,E-mai:lxhsca@nuaa.edu.cn

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出版历程

Reverse Gravity Model Based on OD Traffic Flow of Air Passengers

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出版历程

目录

作者简介:
刘晓明(1963- ),男,博士研究生,研究方向为智能运输系统规划与管理,E-mail:lxiaom66@126.com

通讯作者:
夏洪山(1952- ),男,教授,研究方向为智能运输系统规划、管理与仿真,E-mai:lxhsca@nuaa.edu.cn