基于信息的证券市场操纵博弈分析
Game Analysis of Information-Based M anipulation of SecuritiesM arket
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摘要: 通过改进现有模型,将知情者私人信息的准确程度降低,从而使知情者可以长时间重复操纵市场.研究 表明,知情者在拥有信息的基础上,还必须使公众相信知情者的老实程度,才能引导公众的信念,从而够操纵市 场;可能改变类型(老实或不老实)的知情者的长期均衡是公众不可能完全知道其类型,市场上始终有信息的传 递,并且其可信度大于1/2.Abstract: An existingmodel available in literature wasmodified to degrade the accuracy of private information from an informer, so that he can manipulate the securities market repeatedly in a long period. The analysis result shows tha,t the informer has tomake the public believe in his honesty to lead the publics' believes in the assets and manipulate themarke.t The long-period equilibrium of an informerwhomay change his statuses between honesty and dishonesty is that it is impossible for the public to fully know his status, information transferkeeps on and his creditability ismore than 1/2.
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Key words:
- marketmanipulation /
- securitiesmarket /
- gamemodel /
- informer
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