应用差错可能度分析驾驶员安全可靠度
Analysis of Drivers Security Reliability Based on Error Possibility
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摘要: 运用差错可能度这一评价人为差错的模糊度量方法代替传统的分析人为差错率的精确度量方法来分析 驾驶员的可靠度,并在此基础上采用故障树分析评价人为差错.得到如下结论:顶事件的差错潜在度和与其连续 的子事件的差错可能度密切相关,即驾驶员的差错是一系列的失误造成的.Abstract: Error possibility, a fuzzy method evaluating man-made errors, is adopted to analyze the reliability of drivers driving instead of error rate used in the present analyses. And man-made errors are analyzed and evaluated based on fault tree. A conclusion is drawn that the error potentiality of a top event is closely related to the error possibility of continuous sub-events,i.e.drivers fail is caused by a series of their errors.
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