四川省“十五”交通运输量的预测

Forecast of Traffic in Sichuan Province in the Tenth Five-Year Plan

摘要: 交通运输量预测的科学性是促进交通运输事业规范而高速发展的关键,对于解决现阶段我国建设资金严重不足也具有重要意义.通过对交通运输量预测的影响因素进行详细分析,得出经济发展水平与人口数量确实是影响交通运输量的主要因素,并建立相应计量经济模型对四川省的“十五”交通运输量进行了预测,同时给出一般性的模型确定流程.
- 预测 /
- 回归分析 /
- GDP /
- 人口
Abstract: Based on the analysis of factors influencing the traffic and transportation in Sichuan Province, a conclusion is drawn that the level of economic development and its population are the two most important factors. Economic models are built up to forecast the traffic in Sichuan Province in the 10th Five-Year Plan, and the general testing process of these models is presented.
- forecast /
- regression analysis /
- GDP /
- population

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