基于动态博弈的美国西部封港事件的剖析
Analysis of West Coast Port Lockout in USA Based on Dynamic Game Theory
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摘要: 根据动态博弈理论和列昂惕夫模型对美国西部封港风波进行了分析,并运用纳什讨价还价模型对其可 能出现的结果进行了研究.研究表明,经过双方的博弈,会得到在一段时间内的帕累托改进,即得到一个相对稳 定的均衡点.随着时间和环境的变化,这个均衡点会发生相应的波动,再相对稳定(在一段时间内),周而复始.因 此,可以预计,美国的封港事件还会发生.Abstract: Based on the dynamic game theory and the Leontief model, the event of west coast port lockout in USA is analyzed by applying the Nash equilibrium model, and its possible results are discussed. The research shows that after the struggle between the Stock Workers Union (SWU) and the Pacific Maritime Association (PMA), the Pareto optimality can be approached in a long period. However, with the change of environment and time, this equilibrium will change, and the struggle between the SWU and the PMA may arise repeatedly. Therefore, this kind of events will emerge in the future again.
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Key words:
- game theory /
- utility /
- Pareto optimality
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