Multi-level Fuzzy Evaluation Method for Civil Aviation System Safety
-
摘要: 为对民航系统进行安全性评估,建立了评估指标体系和评估方法.采用模糊综合评判方法计算民航系统的管理安全度和由飞行、航空保障、维护与维修3个子系统安全度组成的人-机-环境安全度,在此基础上得出系统的综合安全度.系统的安全度被划分为5个等级,当综合安全度小于4时,表明系统并没有达到较好的安全状态.通过对评估数据的分析,可找出其中被评以很差、差或对一般的隶属度较大的因素,分析问题所在,并加以整改.Abstract: An index system was proposed for safety assessment of civil aviation systems.Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method was used to calculate the safety degrees corresponding to management and to the human-machine-environment system composed of flight,support and maintenance subsystems.The comprehensive safety degree was obtained based on the above degrees,and divided into 5 grades.The system is not safe enough if the comprehensive safety degree is under grade 4.A further evaluation to the data can reveal the possible hints that cause the data to be evaluated as "bad" or "very bad",so that precautions can be taken accordingly.
-
Key words:
- civil aviation system /
- safety assessment /
- index system /
- comprehensive evaluation /
- safety degree
-
JANIC M.An assessment of risk and safety in civil aviation[J].Journal of Air Transport Management,2000,6(1):43-50.[2] LEE W K.Risk assessment modeling in aviation safety management[J].Journal of Air Transport Management,2006,12(5):267-273.[3] 孙瑞山,刘汉辉.航空公司安全评估理论与实践[J].中国安全科学学报,1999,9(3):69-73.SUN Ruishan,LIU Hanhui.Assessment theory and practice for airline safety[J].China Safety Science Journal,1999,9(3):69-73.[4] 陈团生,毛保华.改进TOPSIS法在航空公司安全评估的运用研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2005,1(4):69-73.CHEN Tuansheng,MAO Baohua.The application research about the improved TOPSIS method in the airline's safe evaluation[J].Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2005,1(4):69-73.[5] 曹琦.事故隐患辨识原理[J].劳动保护科学技术,1997,17(2):31.[6] 李鸿炜,肖盛燮,徐进,等.用多级模糊综合评判理论评价汽车乘坐舒适性[J].公路与汽运,2005,2:1-2.[7] 徐柏龄.前车之鉴[M].北京:中国民航出版社,1999:73-74.[8] 马志刚.民航飞行安全研究[D].成都:西南交通大学,2003.MA Zhigang.Study on civil aviation flight safety[D].Chengdu:Southwest Jiaotong University,2003. -
点击查看大图
计量
- 文章访问数: 2041
- HTML全文浏览量: 76
- PDF下载量: 17348
- 被引次数: 0
下载: