Research Review of Emergency Supplies Reserve and Scheduling Optimization
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摘要:
三防(防汛、防旱、防台)应急物资的储备管理是三防工作非工程措施中的重要环节,也是三防工作顺利开展的基础. 基于三防应急物资储备与调度在提升灾害应对能力中重要性的分析,分别从应急物流(应急物流的概念、应急物资需求、储备规模与储备模式、应急物流节点选址与布局规划、应急物资存储策略与货位分配、应急物流调度优化)和三防应急物资储备管理等方面对相关研究进行梳理,分析现有研究的进展和存在不足. 目前的洪涝、干旱、台风灾害预测预报与风险评估领域已经形成一系列突破性的研究成果,但存在几个方面的问题:一是没有考虑灾害风险评估结果与三防应急物资需求之间的关联性;二是缺少更具体更有针对性的研究,例如:储备网络、节点、通道的可靠性等;三是现有研究中关于不确定条件下三防应急物资调配-路径集成问题的动态规划未得到较好的解决. 受我国灾害管理部门分割的影响,现有的研究也大多分开进行,整合三防应急物资储备管理一体化的研究需求迫切,因此,基于需求驱动确定物资储备规模,并对三防应急物资储备优化与集成调度开展系统性研究是现实所需.
Abstract:The reserve management of emergency supplies for three-precaution (flood control, drought relief and typhoon prevention) is an important part of non-engineering measures and the foundation of the three-precaution. Based on the importance analysis of emergency supplies reserve and scheduling in improving disaster response capability, the relevant researches are sorted out from emergency logistics (including concept of emergency logistics, emergency supplies demand, reserve scale and reserve mode, emergency logistics node location and layout planning, emergency supplies reserve strategies and allocation, emergency logistic scheduling optimization) and emergency supplies reserve management. Furthermore, the progress and shortcomings of existing research are analyzed. A series of breakthrough research results have been achieved in the prediction and risk assessment of flood, drought and typhoon disasters, but there are several problems: First, the relationship between disaster risk assessment results and emergency supplies demand has not been considered; Second, there is a lack of more specific and targeted research, such as the reliability of reserve network, nodes, channels; Third, the existing research on the dynamic planning of emergency supplies allocation and path integration under uncertain conditions has not been well resolved. Affected by the division of disaster management departments in China, most of the existing researches are carried out separately, and there is an urgent need to integrate the management of emergency supplies for flood control, drought relief and typhoon prevention. Therefore, it is necessary to determine the reserve scale of emergency supplies based on demand-driven, and to carry out systematic research on the optimization and integrated scheduling of emergency supplies in the future.
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