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出行主体的相对危险暴露量研究综述

江欣国 章国鹏 柏伟 夏亮

江欣国, 章国鹏, 柏伟, 夏亮. 出行主体的相对危险暴露量研究综述[J]. 西南交通大学学报, 2016, 29(3): 546-552. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0258-2724.2016.03.013
引用本文: 江欣国, 章国鹏, 柏伟, 夏亮. 出行主体的相对危险暴露量研究综述[J]. 西南交通大学学报, 2016, 29(3): 546-552. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0258-2724.2016.03.013
JIANG Xinguo, ZHANG Guopeng, BAI Wei, XIA Liang. Literature Review on Surrogate Exposure Technique: Quasi-induced Exposure[J]. Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University, 2016, 29(3): 546-552. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0258-2724.2016.03.013
Citation: JIANG Xinguo, ZHANG Guopeng, BAI Wei, XIA Liang. Literature Review on Surrogate Exposure Technique: Quasi-induced Exposure[J]. Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University, 2016, 29(3): 546-552. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0258-2724.2016.03.013

出行主体的相对危险暴露量研究综述

doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0258-2724.2016.03.013
基金项目: 

国家自然科学基金资助项目(71271176)

四川省青年基金资助项目(2014JQ0014)

详细信息
    作者简介:

    江欣国(1975-),博士,2009年起至今任职于西南交通大学,现为交通运输与物流学院副院长、教授、博士生导师.主要研究方向为交通安全、交通规划与管理、交通设计.主持国家自然科学基金面上项目1项、四川省杰出青年基金1项.兼任四川省青年"百人计划"特聘专家、西南交通大学"扬华之星"、唐立新优秀学者、致公党西南交通大学主委、中共成都市委统战部智囊团交通运输组组长、四川省青年联合会专家会员、四川省交通警察总队特聘安全专家、四川省现代物流协会专家会员、国际交通运输路侧交通安全委员会委员、国际交通工程师协会会员. E-mail:xjiang@swjtu.edu.cn.

Literature Review on Surrogate Exposure Technique: Quasi-induced Exposure

  • 摘要: 道路交通安全已经成为社会发展面临的一个严峻问题.传统的交通安全研究通常以车辆行驶里程作为危险暴露量指标,缺少系统的原始事故数据处理流程及必要的理论假设检验工作,且理论假设的验证方法仍不完善.同时非驾驶相关行为或交通罚单被广泛应用于事故责任分配,其准确性也有待检验.使用相对危险暴露量理论和方法从微观层面鉴定出行主体事故倾向性能够准确反映事故发生环境的时空变动性和事故主体的差异性.未来相对危险暴露量理论在数据处理方面,应制定规范的事故数据处理流程,通过统计学手段揭示事故数据的内在问题,然后采用相应的数据预处理方案;事故定责方面,可引入权重的概念确定其显著性因子,通过责任分配模型来确定各出行主体的事故责任;在理论假设的检验方面,确定该理论的使用准则和应用前景.

     

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出版历程
  • 收稿日期:  2015-10-26
  • 刊出日期:  2016-04-25

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