航路交叉点处碰撞风险模型

韩松臣; 曲玉玲; 孙樊荣; 朱新平

doi:10.3969/j.issn.0258-2724.2013.02.029

航路交叉点处碰撞风险模型

doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0258-2724.2013.02.029

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金资助项目(60979018,61174180)

江苏省普通高校研究生科研创新计划资助项目(CXZZ11_0221)

计量
- 文章访问数: 1075
- HTML全文浏览量: 64
- PDF下载量: 381
- 被引次数: 0
出版历程
- 收稿日期: 2012-01-03
- 刊出日期: 2013-04-25

Collision Risk Model around Intersection of Airways

摘要

摘要: 为研究航路交叉点附近两飞机之间标称距离随时间变化导致的碰撞风险,引入到达时间间隔变量,建立了航路交叉点处碰撞风险模型,提出了一种航路交叉点处标称距离随时间变化的碰撞风险估计方法. 算例结果表明:当航路含有一个交叉点时碰撞风险数增加了1.14710-7;碰撞风险随航迹夹角的增加先逐渐减小,然后逐渐增加, 3种不同速度组合的碰撞风险均在航迹夹角区间(70,75)内达到极小值.利用该模型能够计算航路因含有交叉点而增加的碰撞风险,并能分析航迹夹角对碰撞风险的影响.
- 碰撞风险模型 /
- 到达时间间隔 /
- 交叉航路 /
- 标称距离
Abstract: In order to estimate the collision risk caused by variable nominal separation when two aircraft on intersecting airways are flying around the intersection, a collision risk model around the airway intersection was proposed by introducing a variable of arrival time interval. A method was given to estimate the collision risk around the intersection where the nominal separation changes with time. The results of a case study show the number of increased collision risk is 1.14710-7 when aircraft are flying on airways with one intersection; as the angle between flight paths increases, the collision risk decreases gradually at first, and then increases slowly; for three different combinations of speeds, the minimal values of the collision risk are all achieved in the interval (70, 75) of angle between flight paths. The proposed collision risk model can be used to calculate the increased collision risk caused by airway intersections and analyze the influence of the angle between flight paths on the collision risk.
- collision risk model /
- arrival time interval /
- intersecting airways /
- nominal separation

HTML全文

参考文献(15)

张军. 现代空中交通管理[M]. 北京: 北京航空航天大学出版社,2005: 2-3.

TANG Yuehong, HAN Songchen, ZONG Dawei, et al. 3D sector optimum partition of airspace[J]. Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University, 2007, 15(1): 33-39.

International Civil Aviation Organization. Doc9689-An/953, Manual on airspace planning methodology for the determination of separation minima[S]. Montreal: International Civil Aviation Organization, 1998.

NETJASOV F, JANIC M. A review of research on risk and safety modeling in civil aviation[J]. Journal of Air Transport Mmanagement, 2008, 14: 213-220.

徐肖豪,李冬宾,李雄. 飞行间隔安全评估研究[J]. 航空学报,2008,29(6): 1411-1418. XU Xiaohao, LI Dongbin, LI Xiong. Research on safety assessment of flight separation[J]. Acta Aeronau Tica et Astronau Tica Sinica, 2008, 29(6): 1411-1418.

ANDERSON D, LIN X G. A collision risk model for a crossing track separation methodology[J]. Journal of Navigation, 1996, 49: 337-349.

SCHMIDT D K. Stochastic propertied of conflict frequency at multiple connected air route intersections[J]. Journal of Aircraft, 1978, 1(10): 682-685.

HSU D A. The evaluation of aircraft collision probabilities at intersection air routes[J]. Journal of Navigation, 1981, 34: 78-102.

ROME H J, KALAFUS R. Impact of automatic dependent surveillance and navigation system accuracy on collision risk on intersection tracks[C]//Proceedings of the Institute of Navigation National Technical Meeting[M]. Santa Barbara: [s.n], 1988: 213-222.

赵洪元. 两条交叉航线上飞机发生危险冲突次数模型的研究[J]. 系统工程与电子技术,1998(5): 6-8. ZHAO Hongyuan. Study on the model for computing the number of dangerous conflicts among aircrafts on two intersecting tracks[J]. Systems Engineering and Electronics, 1998(5): 6-8.

孟祥伟,张平,王瑛. 交叉航路飞机碰撞风险评估[J]. 北京航空航天大学学报,2010,36(9): 1021-1025. MENG Xiangwei, ZHANG Ping, WANG Ying. Aircraft collision risk assessment at intersecting air routes[J]. Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, 2010, 36(9): 1021-1025.

International Civil Aviation Organization, Doc4444-ATM/501, Procedures for air navigation services[S]. Montreal: International Civil Aviation Organization, 2001.

张兆宁,沈金炜,刘计民. 基于CNS 定位误差的侧向碰撞风险模型[J]. 交通运输工程学报,2009,9(6): 110-113. ZHANG Zhaoning, SHEN Jinwei, LIU Jimin. Lateral collision risk model based on CNS position error[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2009, 9(6): 110-113.

俞文军,卢婷婷,刘计民. 交叉航路飞行间隔安全评估研究[J]. 航空计算技术,2010,40(1): 11-14. YU Wenjun, LU Tingting, LIU Jimin. Research on safety assessment of flight separation on cross track[J]. Aeronautical Computing Technique, 2010, 40(1): 11-14.

CAMPOS L M B C, MARQUES J M G. On a combination of gamma and generalized error distributions with application to aircraft flight path deviations[J]. Communications in Statistics: Theory and Methods, 2004, 33(10): 2307-2332.

施引文献

附加材料(0)

访问统计

点击查看大图

计量

文章访问数: 1075
HTML全文浏览量: 64
PDF下载量: 381
被引次数: 0

航路交叉点处碰撞风险模型

doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0258-2724.2013.02.029

计量

出版历程

Collision Risk Model around Intersection of Airways

计量

出版历程

目录