城市交通需求预测组合模型的研究
Study on Combined Models of Demand Forecasting for Urban Traffic
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摘要: 分析了交通需求预测组合模型的应用,重点研究了适用于城市交通需求预测的两种组合模型.给出了基 于熵最大化原理的交通分布与交通分配组合模型的求解算例,并且构造了各种城市客运交通方式的广义出行费 用模型,提出了基于广义出行费用和动态多路径概率分配的交通方式划分和交通分配组合模型.Abstract: The application of combined models for traffic demand forecasting is analyzed, and emphasis is put on two combined models applied to demand forecasting for urban traffic. An example of combined model for trip distribution and assignment based on the principle of entropy maximization is presented. A model of generalized trip cost for all types of urban passenger traffic modes is proposed. Then a combined model for trip mode categorizing and assignment is put forward based on the principle of generalized trip cost and dynamic probability assignment.
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Key words:
- urban traffic /
- forecasting /
- combined models /
- generalized cost
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