System Dynamics Model for Pricing of High-Speed Railways
-
摘要: 为合理地制订高速铁路运价,建立了高速铁路运价制定的系统动力学流程图.在此基础上,构建了模拟模型和模型的主要方程.在运价的制定过程中,可利用该模型进行模拟和控制系统参数,并可比较充分地反映决策研究人员的意见,具有较好的可控性和灵活性.以京沪高速铁路运价的制定为例进行了仿真模拟.模拟结果表明,运价的发展趋势以及它对运输总收入、运输利润的影响与构建的系统动力学因果关系是一致的,说明基于系统动力学的高速铁路运价测算模拟模型是有效的.Abstract: An SD (system dynamics) flow chart for rational pricing of high-speed railways was drawn.Based on the flow chart,a simulation model and the corresponding equations were presented.The SD model can be used for simulation during the pricing process.The ideas of price policy makers can be reflected in the SD model,and the parameters in the model can be controlled as necessary,so that it has excellent controllability and flexibility.The pricing of Jing-Hu (Beijing-Shanghai) high-speed railway was taken as example of simulation.The simulation result shows that the variation of prices and its influences on gross transport earnings and profits are accordant with the system dynamic consequences,which indicates that the proposed model is feasible.
-
Key words:
- high-speed railway /
- railway rate /
- system dynamics /
- model /
- simulation
-
何天祥,夏安桃.我国铁路客运票价的新构想[J].中国铁路,2001(6):26-29.HE Tianxiang,XIA Antao.The new design of railway passenger fare in our country[J].Chinese Railways,2001 (6):26-29.[2] 任民.铁路客票价格分析及客运旅客票价水平的合理确定[J].铁道运输与经济,1999(6):22-25.REN Min.The analysis and reasonable confirmation of railway passenger fare[J].Railway Transportation Economic,1999(6):22-25.[3] 高自友,四兵锋.市场竞争条件下铁路旅客票价制定的模型与算法[J].交通运输系统工程与信息,2001,1(1):50-55.GAO Ziyou,SI Bingfeng.A model of railway passenger fare under the condition of market competition[J].System Engineering and Information of Traffic Transportation,2001,1 (1):50-55.[4] FERRAR P.Road pricing and network equilibrium[J].Transportation Research,1995,29(3):357-372.[5] 王其藩.系统动力学[M].北京:清华大学出版社,1988:30-100.[6] NAGURAY A.A multiclass,multicriteria traffic network equilibrium model with elastic demand[J].Transportation Research,2002(36):445-469.
点击查看大图
计量
- 文章访问数: 1920
- HTML全文浏览量: 100
- PDF下载量: 374
- 被引次数: 0