Critical Effect of Decision Making for Logistics Outsourcing of Manufacturing Enterprises
-
摘要: 分析了在制造企业的物流外包过程中存在的临界点和临界效应.在临界点前后,制造企业的经济效益急剧增加或减少,出现物流外包的临界效应.用系统论中的“白箱”模型描述物流外包决策的临界效应.投入要素包括物流外包总成本、制造企业所能提供的物流服务水平以及内部的物流管理能力.外包总成本按外包比例确定,服务水平分解为供应比率、按时配送能力和灵活性指数,内部物流管理能力用德尔菲法确定。产出要素指企业的整体经济效益.用系统分析的方法确定投入产出要素之间的相互作用,用邹氏检验法确定并验证临界点.Abstract: There is a critical point,where the profit of a manufacturing enterprise increases or decreases dramatically,in the course of logistics outsourcing of the enterprise.The critical effect was described with a "white box" model of system theory.The input factors include total cost of logistics outsourcing,logistics service level and logistics management ability of the enterprise.The total cost of logistics outsourcing is determined according to the outsourcing scale,the service level consists of fill rate,ability of on-time distribution and a flexibility index,and the logistics management ability is evaluated with Delphi technique.The output of the "white box" is the total profit of the enterprise.The interaction between the input and output was discussed with system analysis method,and the critical point was determined and validated with Chow test method.
-
Key words:
- logistics outsourcing /
- critical effect /
- critical point /
- Chow testing /
- manufacturing enterprise
-
卜祥智,王文斌,武振业.敏捷供应链中战略伙伴选择问题探析[J]. 西南交通大学学报,2004,39(2):24-26.BU Xiangzhi,WANG Wenbin,WU Zhenye.Strategic partner selection in agile supply chain[J]. Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University,2004,39(2):24-26.[2] 张文杰,陈宝国,琚泽钧.存在效用遗传性时企业物流横向联合外包的决策分析[J]. 北方交通大学学报(社会科学版),2003(3):23-26.ZHANG Wenjie,CHEN Baoguo,JU Zejun.Decision making analysis of lateral consignation for internal logistics in utility heredity[J]. Journal of Northern Jiaotong University (Social Sciences Edition),2003(3):23-26.[3] 王宇,乐美龙.基于人工神经网络的企业物流业务外包决策方法[J]. 物流技术,2005(9):83-87.WANG Yu,LE Meilong.Business logistics outsourcing decision based on artificial neutral network[J]. Logistics Technology,2005(9):83-87.[4] 韩翔.基于交易成本经济学的物流外包决策研究[J]. 管理探索,2005(8):14-16.HAN Xiang.The research of logistics outsourcing base on the bargaining costs[J]. Management Exploring,2005(8):14-16.[5] 杨金,王勇.考虑转换成本的物流外包决策分析[J]. 商业经济与管理,2004(4):23-25.YANG Jin,WANG Yong.The analysis of logistics outsourcing considering transition costs[J]. Business Economics and Administration,2004(4):23-25.[6] CHOW G C.Tests of equality between sets of coefficients in two linear regressions[J]. Econometrica,1960,52:211-222.[7] 李彦萍.第三方物流的价值[J]. 中国流通经济,2001(5):20-23.LI Yanping.The value of third-party logistics[J]. China Business Market,2001(5):20-23. -
点击查看大图
计量
- 文章访问数: 1349
- HTML全文浏览量: 76
- PDF下载量: 450
- 被引次数: 0
下载: