Quantitative Assessment Method for Severity Classification of Air Traffic Control Incidents
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摘要: 空管不安全事件危险等级的量化评估方法参考已有的有关空管不安全事件的评估方法,结合我国有关民航法规,用层次分析法量化评估空管不安全事件的危险等级.空管不安全事件的主要影响因素有垂直间隔、水平间隔、飞行航迹、相对汇聚率和ATC/TCAS控制.根据专家评分确定了判断矩阵和各影响因素权重,并参考已有的方法确定了各因素的最大危险分值和其不同范围对应的分值.各因素的分值之和表示空管不安全事件危险等级的总分值,并分为高、中、低3个等级.用实例验证了本方法的可行性和合理性.Abstract: Severity classification of ATC(air traffic control) incidents was studied with the AHP(analytic hierarchy process) method and by combining the existing assessment methods and the civil aviation rules of China.The factors influencing ATC incidents include vertical separation,horizontal separation,flight path,relative closure rate and intervention of ATC/TCAS.The judgment matrix and the weights of the factors were determined by experts.The maximum point values for the factors and those for the elements in every factor were assigned by referencing the existing assessment methods.The total point values for the factors represent the severity classification,and are classified as high,moderate and low severity.The feasibility and rationality of the proposed method were verified with an example of a real ATC incident.
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Key words:
- ATC /
- ATC incident /
- severity classification /
- AHP /
- assessment
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