基于收购报价的市场操纵博弈分析
Game Analysis of Stock PriceM anipulation Through Takeover Bids
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摘要: 用不完全信息博弈模型分析在收购者作出要约收购报价前后噪声交易量的增加以及收购活动量水平对 操纵可能性的影响.在此基础上考察在收购者报价以后是否允许其放弃该报价.当收购活动量水平较高时,唯 一的均衡形式是操纵者没有利润,若允许收购者放弃报价则增加了社会盈余。当收购活动量水平较低时,唯一 的均衡形式是操纵者获得利润,此时,若允许收购者放弃报价则降低了社会盈余。Abstract: The influences of an increase in noise trading before and after bidding and the level of takeover activities on the possibility ofmarketmanipulation were analyzed with an incomplete game model to explore ifdropping bid should be allowed after a buyer has bid. The conclusion is that the unique equilibrium leads to a non-profitable manipulation, and social surplus is increased by the possibility of dropping bids, if the level of takeover activity is high; on the contrary, the unique equilibrium results in a profitable manipulation, and social surplus is decreased by the possibility of dropping bids, if the level of takeover activity is low.
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Key words:
- stock prise /
- marketmanipulation /
- gamemodel /
- takeover bids /
- takeover activity /
- noise trading
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