• ISSN 0258-2724
  • CN 51-1277/U
  • EI Compendex
  • Scopus
  • Indexed by Core Journals of China, Chinese S&T Journal Citation Reports
  • Chinese S&T Journal Citation Reports
  • Chinese Science Citation Database
Volume 22 Issue 4
Aug.  2009
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Article Contents
XIAO Dongsheng, HUANG Dingfa, CHEN Weifeng, PENG Jinchuan. Prediction Model for Buried Personnel Probabilty in Earthquake[J]. Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University, 2009, 22(4): 574-579.
Citation: XIAO Dongsheng, HUANG Dingfa, CHEN Weifeng, PENG Jinchuan. Prediction Model for Buried Personnel Probabilty in Earthquake[J]. Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University, 2009, 22(4): 574-579.

Prediction Model for Buried Personnel Probabilty in Earthquake

  • Received Date: 30 Oct 2008
  • To meet the demand of fast response and lifesaving assistant decision-making,a model for buried personnel probabilty in an earthquake was established based on collapsing ratio and in-building probabilty by analyzing factors influencing the buried personnel probabilty.In this model,the in-building probabilty is used as the prior probability.By taking elementary and middle schools in the disaster areas in the Wenchuan earthquake as examples,the situation of buried personnel was explained with the established model,and its precision was analyzed with the error theory.The analysis result shows that the precision of the established model is about ±0.2.

     

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      沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

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