- ISSN 0258-2724
- CN 51-1277/U
- EI Compendex
- Scopus
- Indexed by Core Journals of China, Chinese S&T Journal Citation Reports
- Chinese S&T Journal Citation Reports
- Chinese Science Citation Database
| Citation: | JI Xiaofeng, XU Yinghao, HAO Jingjing, QIN Wenwen. Time Covariate Modeling of Overtaking Risk Evolution on Two-Lane Highways[J]. Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University, 2025, 60(5): 1240-1249. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0258-2724.20230449
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In order to obtain the temporal characteristics of overtaking risk evolution on two-lane highways, a full-parameter accelerated failure time (AFT) model based on an improved shape parameter covariate modeling method was proposed to predict the expected overtaking time of the road section, which was carried out after introducing the overtaking risk sight distance index to analyze the evolution characteristics of overtaking risk. A total of 328 sets of complete overtaking trajectory data collected by UAVs in typical overtaking road sections were analyzed and compared. The results show that the overtaking risk evolution consists of two stages: a risk-increasing stage (
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