Simple Method of Determining the Initial
Value in Secondary Exponential Smoothing Method

WANG Ci-guang

Volume 17 Issue 3

Jun. 2004

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Article Contents

Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University > 2004 > 17(3): 269-271.

WANG Ci-guang. Simple Method of Determining the InitialValue in Secondary Exponential Smoothing Method[J]. Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University, 2004, 17(3): 269-271.

Citation:

WANG Ci-guang. Simple Method of Determining the Initial Value in Secondary Exponential Smoothing Method[J]. Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University, 2004, 17(3): 269-271.

WANG Ci-guang. Simple Method of Determining the InitialValue in Secondary Exponential Smoothing Method[J]. Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University, 2004, 17(3): 269-271.

Citation:

WANG Ci-guang. Simple Method of Determining the Initial Value in Secondary Exponential Smoothing Method[J]. Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University, 2004, 17(3): 269-271.

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Simple Method of Determining the Initial Value in Secondary Exponential Smoothing Method

WANG Ci-guang

Publish Date: 25 Jun 2004

Abstract

Abstract

When the secondary exponential smoothing is applied to a trend prediction model, its initial value has to be determined,which makes the process complex and time consuming. Through derivations, it was proved a simple method to utilize the initial index value as the smoothing one. The feasibility and applicable conditions of the method were presented.
- statistical analysis,
- prediction,
- secondary exponential smoothing,
- rend prediction model,
- initial smoothing value