• ISSN 0258-2724
  • CN 51-1277/U
  • EI Compendex
  • Scopus
  • Indexed by Core Journals of China, Chinese S&T Journal Citation Reports
  • Chinese S&T Journal Citation Reports
  • Chinese Science Citation Database
Volume 59 Issue 5
Oct.  2024
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Article Contents
XIE Jiming, XIA Yulan, QIN Yaqin, ZHAO Rongda, LIU Bing, DUAN Guozhong, CHEN Jinhong. Traffic Speed Prediction in Merging Zone of Urban Expressway Based on Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory Network[J]. Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University, 2024, 59(5): 1235-1244. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0258-2724.20220005
Citation: XIE Jiming, XIA Yulan, QIN Yaqin, ZHAO Rongda, LIU Bing, DUAN Guozhong, CHEN Jinhong. Traffic Speed Prediction in Merging Zone of Urban Expressway Based on Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory Network[J]. Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University, 2024, 59(5): 1235-1244. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0258-2724.20220005

Traffic Speed Prediction in Merging Zone of Urban Expressway Based on Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory Network

doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0258-2724.20220005
  • Received Date: 03 Jan 2022
  • Rev Recd Date: 25 May 2022
  • Available Online: 13 Jul 2024
  • Publish Date: 06 Jul 2022
  • Accurate prediction of microscopic traffic parameters in atypical complex scenes is a prerequisite to ensure stable operation of the intelligent vehicle infrastructure cooperative systems (IVICS). To solve the problem of vehicle speed distribution disorder and difficulty in prediction caused by bottleneck phenomenon during peak hours in the merging area under IVICS conditions, First, using the UAV video, the full-sample high-precision vehicle trajectory data of the intertwined area during peak hours are extracted from a wide-area view. Then, as bidirectional long short-term memory (Bi-LSTM) networks cost long time and affect the prediction performance of the model when training parameters are manually set, a BHO-Bi-LSTM (bayesian hyperparameter optimization bidirectional long short-term memory) integrated vehicle speed prediction model based on Bayesian hyperparameters optimization is proposed. Finally, the classical multiple linear regression model and Bi-LSTM model of vehicle speed prediction are constructed for comparison. The results show that the BHO-Bi-LSTM model outperforms other models, with a goodness-of-fit and rank correlation of 91.05% and 94.87%, respectively, and error mean, error standard deviation, mean square error, root mean square error, and normalized root mean square error of 0.0561, 0.4556, 0.2106, 0.4589, and 0.0785, respectively, which can overcome the disadvantage in prediction of complicated traffic speeds during peak hours.

     

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