• ISSN 0258-2724
  • CN 51-1277/U
  • EI Compendex
  • Scopus
  • Indexed by Core Journals of China, Chinese S&T Journal Citation Reports
  • Chinese S&T Journal Citation Reports
  • Chinese Science Citation Database
Volume 57 Issue 5
Oct.  2022
Turn off MathJax
Article Contents
LYU Biao, LIU Yumeng. Resilience Assessment Based on Bayesian Network for on-Board Subsystem of CTCS-3 Train Control System[J]. Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University, 2022, 57(5): 949-959. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0258-2724.20210102
Citation: LYU Biao, LIU Yumeng. Resilience Assessment Based on Bayesian Network for on-Board Subsystem of CTCS-3 Train Control System[J]. Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University, 2022, 57(5): 949-959. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0258-2724.20210102

Resilience Assessment Based on Bayesian Network for on-Board Subsystem of CTCS-3 Train Control System

doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0258-2724.20210102
  • Received Date: 02 Feb 2021
  • Rev Recd Date: 30 Jun 2021
  • Available Online: 22 Aug 2022
  • Publish Date: 06 Sep 2021
  • To make up the deficiency of existing indexes, resilience is introduced as the operation stability index for CTCS-3 (China train control system-3) on-board subsystem under abnormal events. The quantitative evaluation method of on-board subsystem resilience is proposed, the resilience evaluation model based on Bayesian network (BN) is constructed, and five kinds of component importance indexes based on resilience are defined. The bi-directional reasoning function of Bayesian network is used to evaluate the resilience of on-board subsystem under different disturbances and calculate the component importance indexes. The results show that, the resilience index can fully describe the capability of on-board subsystem to resist disturbance or recover from disturbance, and under the disturbance of abnormal events, resilience and availability indexes have marked differences. Different disturbance scenarios lead to obviously different resilience. When disturbance occurs, the resilience of the on-board subsystem is 0.8017 when it is affected by magnetic storm, 0.8819 when it is affected by thunder, and 0.9880 when it is disturbed by snow and ice. The component importance depends on the scenario, specifically, the same component may be varied in the importance ranking in different disturbance scenarios, and may change dynamically with time.

     

  • loading
  • [1]
    宁滨,刘朝英. 中国轨道交通列车运行控制技术及应用[J]. 铁道学报,2017,39(2): 1-9.

    NING Bin, LIU Chaoying. Technology and application of train operation control system for China rail transit system[J]. Journal of the China Railway Society, 2017, 39(2): 1-9.
    [2]
    邸丽清,袁湘鄂,王永年. CTCS-3级列控系统RAM指标评价方法研究[J]. 中国铁道科学,2010,31(6): 92-97.

    DI LIQING, YUAN Xiang’e, WANG Yongnian. Research on the evaluation method for the RAM goals of CTCS-3[J]. China Railway Science, 2010, 31(6): 92-97.
    [3]
    张文韬,张友鹏,苏宏升,等. 基于动态故障树的CTCS-3级ATP系统可靠性分析[J]. 工程设计学报,2014,21(1): 18-26.

    ZHANG Wentao, ZHANG Youpeng, SU Hongsheng, et al. Reliability analysis on ATP system of CTCS-3 based on dynamic fault tree[J]. Chinese Journal of Engineering Design, 2014, 21(1): 18-26.
    [4]
    苏宏升,车玉龙,张友鹏. 基于贝叶斯网络的CTCS-3级列控系统车载子系统可靠性评估[J]. 中国铁道科学,2014,35(5): 96-104.

    SU Hongsheng, CHE Yulong, ZHANG Youpeng. Dependability assessment of CTCS-3 on-board subsystem based on Bayesian network[J]. China Railway Science, 2014, 35(5): 96-104.
    [5]
    张友鹏,杨金凤. 基于动态贝叶斯网络的CTCS-3级ATP系统可靠性分析[J]. 铁道学报,2017,39(7): 79-86.

    ZHANG Youpeng, YANG Jinfeng. Reliability analysis on ATP system of CTCS-3 based on dynamic Bayesian network[J]. Journal of the China Railway Society, 2017, 39(7): 79-86.
    [6]
    苏宏升,豆晓东. 基于时变可靠度的高铁列控系统维修周期的确定方法研究[J]. 铁道学报,2017,39(5): 67-70.

    SU Hongsheng, DOU Xiaodong. Determination of maintenance period based on time-varying reliability of high-speed train control system[J]. Journal of the China Railway Society, 2017, 39(5): 67-70.
    [7]
    江磊,王小敏,刘一骝,等. 基于动态贝叶斯网络的CTCS3-300T列控车载系统运行可靠性及可用性评估[J]. 铁道学报,2020,42(3): 85-92.

    JIANG Lei, WANG Xiaomin, LIU Yiliu, et al. DBN-based operational reliability and availability evaluation of CTCS3-300T onboard system[J]. Journal of the China Railway Society, 2020, 42(3): 85-92.
    [8]
    HOLLING C S. Resilience and stability of ecological systems[J]. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics, 1973, 4(1): 1-23. doi: 10.1146/annurev.es.04.110173.000245
    [9]
    ZHOU Y M, WANG J W, YANG H. Resilience of transportation systems:concepts and comprehensive review[J]. IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems, 2019, 20(12): 4262-4276. doi: 10.1109/TITS.2018.2883766
    [10]
    MURRAY-TUITE P M. A comparison of transportation network resilience under simulated system optimum and user equilibrium conditions[C]// Proceedings of the 2006 Winter Simulation Conference. Monterey: IEEE, 2006: 1398-1405.
    [11]
    HENRY D, EMMANUEL RAMIREZ-MARQUEZ J. Generic metrics and quantitative approaches for system resilience as a function of time[J]. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2012, 99: 114-122. doi: 10.1016/j.ress.2011.09.002
    [12]
    TWUMASI-BOAKYE R, SOBANJO J O. Resilience of regional transportation networks subjected to hazard-induced bridge damages[J]. Journal of Transportation Engineering, Part A: Systems, 2018, 144(10): 4018062.1-4018062.13. doi: 10.1061/jtepbs.0000186
    [13]
    ZHOU L, CHEN Z H. Measuring the performance of airport resilience to severe weather events[DB/OL]. (2020-06-10)[2021-01-22]. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2020.102362
    [14]
    ADJETEY-BAHUN K, BIRREGAH B, CHÂTELET E, et al. A model to quantify the resilience of mass railway transportation systems[J]. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2016, 153: 1-14. doi: 10.1016/j.ress.2016.03.015
    [15]
    MARTINS M C D M, RODRIGUES DA SILVA A N, PINTO N. An indicator-based methodology for assessing resilience in urban mobility[J]. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 2019, 77: 352-363. doi: 10.1016/j.trd.2019.01.004
    [16]
    GANIN A A, MERSKY A C, JIN A S, et al. Resilience in intelligent transportation systems (ITS)[J]. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, 2019, 100: 318-329. doi: 10.1016/j.trc.2019.01.014
    [17]
    上官伟,胡福威,袁敏,等. 基于弹复力效应的列控车载设备可靠性分析方法[J]. 铁道学报,2018,40(6): 75-82.

    SHANGGUAN Wei, HU Fuwei, YUAN Min, et al. Reliability analysis method for on-board equipment of train control system based on resilience effect[J]. Journal of the China Railway Society, 2018, 40(6): 75-82.
    [18]
    PATRIARCA R, BERGSTRÖM J, DI GRAVIO G, et al. Resilience engineering: Current status of the research and future challenges[J]. Safety Science, 2018, 102: 79-100. doi: 10.1016/j.ssci.2017.10.005
    [19]
    LANGSETH H, PORTINALE L. Bayesian networks in reliability[J]. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2007, 92(1): 92-108. doi: 10.1016/j.ress.2005.11.037
    [20]
    RAUSAND M, HOYLAND A. System reliability theory: models, statistical methods, and applications[M]. [S.l.]: John Wiley and Sons Ltd, 2004: 205-210.
  • 加载中

Catalog

    通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
    • 1. 

      沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

    1. 本站搜索
    2. 百度学术搜索
    3. 万方数据库搜索
    4. CNKI搜索

    Figures(7)  / Tables(4)

    Article views(339) PDF downloads(55) Cited by()
    Proportional views
    Related

    /

    DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
    Return
    Return