• ISSN 0258-2724
  • CN 51-1277/U
  • EI Compendex
  • Scopus
  • Indexed by Core Journals of China, Chinese S&T Journal Citation Reports
  • Chinese S&T Journal Citation Reports
  • Chinese Science Citation Database
Volume 26 Issue 6
Dec.  2013
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Article Contents
HU Lan, HU Pei. Relation and Risk in Owner and Contractors of Tunnel Projects Based on Probability and Logic Theories[J]. Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University, 2013, 26(6): 1122-1128. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0258-2724.2013.06.024
Citation: HU Lan, HU Pei. Relation and Risk in Owner and Contractors of Tunnel Projects Based on Probability and Logic Theories[J]. Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University, 2013, 26(6): 1122-1128. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0258-2724.2013.06.024

Relation and Risk in Owner and Contractors of Tunnel Projects Based on Probability and Logic Theories

doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0258-2724.2013.06.024
  • Received Date: 26 Mar 2013
  • Publish Date: 25 Dec 2013
  • Based on classic probability and logic theories, a probability evaluation method was presented to assess relation and risk in owner and contractors of tunnel and underground projects. By analyzing real project cases, several logic probability tree models were built from the perspective of the logic relationship between owner and contractors. By comparison, risk probability of the OR gate model was larger than the maximum probability value of owner and contractors; risk probability of AND gate model was less than the minimum probability value of owner and contractors; risk probability of hybrid gate model was between the maximum probability value and the minimum probability value of owner and contractors. Therefore, in tunnel construction, the cooperative relationship between all project parties should be adjusted to form a relation of AND gate model and avoid a relation of OR gate model.

     

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